“Chance of Rain” Doesn’t Mean What You’ve Always Thought It Means

Posted: February 24, 2021 at 7:34 am

There’s a TikTok video blowing people’s minds right now . . . because it reveals that the “chance of rain” in a weather forecast doesn’t mean what we all thought.

@sydjkell#stitch with @sooklyn #ColorCustomizer I have toooo many of these. I’ll do another weather one. #embarassing #iwastodayyearsold♬ original sound – Syd

30% does NOT mean there’s a 30% chance it’s going to rain . . . it’s based on a formula that multiplies how likely it is to rain by how much of the area the rain is going to cover.  A meteorologist explains…

@weatherchannelWhat is your chance of precip? It’s complicated… @syd@sydjkell #to#todayyearsold #weather #askameteorologist #fyp

♬ I’M CONFUSED – Brian C Rice